IL COVID – 19 Update #118

SUMMARY of the DAILY REPORT

• Metro East positivity rate is still increasing at 9.4%
• Southern Region is approaching MITIGATION
• South Suburban Region is approaching MITIGATION
• Today’s State numbers: 1,832 new confirmed cases with 27 deaths

REGION 5 (SOUTHERN) and REGION 7 (SOUTH SUBURBAN) ARE APPROACHING MITIGATION

The Southern Region has been hovering around the 8% positivity rate at 7.4% while the South Suburban Region currently has a positivity rate of 7.5%. While we do not know exactly what the mitigation procedure would look like if the rates hit 8% for those regions the state will most likely implement mitigation protocols that reflect the current mitigation efforts in the Metro East Region.  

Please note that the administration has not given any indication when mitigation may take place but the numbers are trending in a similar manner as the Metro East numbers were a week ago before the administration announced its mitigation protocols.

The Southern Region consists of the following counties: Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Marion, Massac, Perry, Pope, Pulaski, Saline, Union, Wabash, Wayne, White, Williamson.

The South Suburban Region consists of the following counties: Kankakee and Will.

STATE COVID-19 IMPACT UPDATE

In the last 24 hours there has been 1,832 new confirmed cases and 27 deaths. 

IDPH is reporting a total of 213,721 cases, to date, including 7,833 deaths. 

The state has conducted 3,541,183 tests to-date.  

Additional information can be found here. COVID-19 stats by zip code can be found here.

CHICAGO COVID-19 IMPACT UPDATE

In order for Chicago to move to the Moderate Incidence risk level which will allow the city to open up capacity to 50% and allow gatherings of up to 100 people, it has to get below 100 new cases per day and stay there for 14 days.

The per day averages citywide as of August 19th are 310 confirmed cases, 4,550 tests completed, and 3 deaths (based on a 7 day rolling average).

To date, there has been 67,076 confirmed cases in the City of Chicago with 2,836 confirmed deaths and a 6.8% positivity rate.

Additional information may be found here where you may select different data points such as zip code, ethnicity, age, gender, cases, tests, death, etc.

CURRENT REGION METRICS UPDATE

If the regions meet the metrics outlined below, then they COULD be subject to restrictions or mitigations outlined HERE. 

You may find the regional metrics HERE.

Danger regions are marked in RED.

Region	Positivity Increases (7 Day Avg)	Hospital Admissions (7 Day Avg.)	<20% Med  Surge Capacity	<20%  ICU Surge  Capacity	> 8% Positivity  Rate (3 cons. days)
1. North	3	1	42%	54%	0 (4.1%)
2. North Central	6	2	39%	43%	0 (5.7%)
3. West Central	5	1	35%	45%	0 (6.0%)
4. Metro East	9	3	31%	41%	5(9.4%)
5. Southern	4	1	48%	50%	0(7.4%)
6. East Central	1	2	37%	46%	0 (2.2%)
7. South Suburban	5	4	31%	32%	0 (7.5%)
8. West Suburban	4	1	31%	43%	0 (5.2%)
9. North Suburban	4	1	39%	54%	0 (5.7%)
10. Suburban Cook	4	4	29%	35%	0 (6.4%)
11. Chicago	3	3	28%	43%	0 (5.1%)

NEW METRICS

As you are aware from IRMA’s last notice, the Administration will now use the following metrics to determine whether or not a region is moving forward or backward. 

1. Sustained increase in 7-day rolling average (7 out of 10-days) in the positivity rate and ONE of the following severity indicators:
   • Sustained 7-day increase in hospital admissions for a COVID-19 like illness;
   • Reduction in hospital capacity threatening surge capabilities (ICU capacity or medical/surgical beds < 20%)

OR

2. Three consecutive days averaging ≥ 8% positivity rate

NEW REGIONS

1. NORTH: Boone, Carroll, DeKalb, Jo Daviess, Lee, Ogle, Stephenson, Whiteside, Winnebago
2. NORTH-CENTRAL: Bureau, Fulton, Grundy, Henderson, Henry, Kendall, Knox, La Salle, Livingston, Marshall, McDonough, McLean, Mercer, Peoria, Putnam, Rock Island, Stark, Tazewell, Warren, Woodford
3. WEST-CENTRAL: Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Greene, Hancock, Jersey, Logan, Macoupin, Mason, Mason, Menard, Montgomery, Morgan, Pike, Sangamon, Schuyler, Scott
4. METRO EAST: Bond, Clinton, Madison, Monroe, Randolph, St. Clair, Washington
5. SOUTHERN: Alexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Jackson, Jefferson, Johnson, Marion, Massac, Perry, Pope, Pulaski, Saline, Union, Wabash, Wayne, White, Williamson
6. EAST-CENTRAL: Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, De Witt, Douglas, Edgar, Effingham, Fayette, Ford, Iroquois, Jasper, Lawrence, Macon, Moultrie, Piatt, Richland, Shelby, Vermillion
7. SOUTH SUBURBAN: Kankakee, Will
8. WEST SUBURBAN: DuPage, Kane
9. NORTH SUBURBAN: Lake, McHenry
10. SUBURBAN COOK: Suburban Cook
11. CHICAGO: City of Chicago

MITIGATION MEASURES

Once a region meets the resurgence criteria, the following tiered menu of mitigation options will be considered. If sustained increases in health metrics continue unabated, further mitigations could be added from additional tiers.

SETTING	TIER 1	TIER 2	TIER 3
Bars and Restaurants	Reduced indoor dining and suspend indoor bar service	Suspend indoor dining and bar service	Suspend in-person dining; takeout only
Offices	Institute remote work for high risk individuals; continued emphasis on telework for as many workers as possible	Reduce office capacity with recommendations to resume remote work where possible	Institute remote work for all non-essential workers
Gyms	Reduce indoor capacity	Suspend organized indoor recreational activities	Suspend organized indoor and outdoor recreational activities
Retail	Reduce in-person capacity	Suspend in-person non-essential retail; online and curbside pick-up available for all	Suspend all non-essential retail; only essential retail open (i.e. grocery stores, pharmacies)
Salon and Personal Care	Institute temporary location shutdown tied to outbreak	Institute temporary location shutdown tied to outbreak with possible broader mitigations	Suspend salon and personal care operations

The metrics and mitigation information may be found HERE.